Accurate prediction - Dow 22nd March 2018

Have you experienced it before where your made very accurate predictions on market movements based on gut feel as well as TA. Last night, it was one of those prediction I made which was so accurate. It was very rare but still it can happened to me and to anyone.  Please see below snapshot of the conversation with a buddy on my outlook for Dow dated 22nd March 2018. This is a record I wish to keep in my blog for memory sake.

At about 8.00 pm last night, I wrote that I would expect Dow to crash towards 500 points downwards. At that time, US market had not started, Dow futures was down about 150 ponts or -0.5%.

Soon after at about 9.15pm, we withnessed 300 points down in Dow futures, -1% estimate.

US market opened down at 9.30pm. See by 11.40pm, Dow already crashed almost 500 points. My buddy was amazed by my prediction. But that is not the end yet.. read on..


























At around 11.48pm, Dow futures has crashed below 500 points, -1.6%. At that time, I wrote that I would buy Dow futures at about this level to fight for a 200 points rebounds. Move on to Dow chart below to see the magic.

Ta dah! Dow did exactly what I had predicted. No magic, not deception, Dow rebounded 200 plus point up before crashing further down south. I did not follow the further crash because I was already in bed sleeping.

DOW's chart update

Just an updates on Dow chart from where I left behind in the previous post. Because Dow still has not crossed my 25,700 crucial level, and wave 'e' is in play, I am more incline to be bearish and do nothing for the time being. Just in case big bear did come into play and wave 'e' happened to be a super extended one, you get to see Dow's chart that look like this below.

So, start working out a list of stocks that you wish to buy. If really US market cracked and crashed this way, buy in with full confidences. Market will reward you greatly after that. Let us wait and see if market opens up this opportunity for us or not. Good luck!

Market bull or bear ? Let Dow chart tells us

Last friday 9 March 2018, Dow up 440 points, crossed 25,000 easily and closed at 35,335. Today, all asian markets rallied up, STI up 60 points, Hang Seng up 400 points, and Nikkei 225 up above 300. STI Market is so bullish as I am updating the blog, funds are just grabbing and pushing up prices of almost every index stocks.

So, same questions everyone is now asking, what is next? There are mixed views from top top TA gurus out there, some are very bullish, few are still bearish. No one is absolutely sure. Of course, I have to make a stand too right, at least from technical prespective, I will chart out Dow based on my forecast and act according to my plan. Please see my latest Dow chart below based on my forecast or prediction.

I will determine if market were to be bullish or bearish based on a single crucial point in Dow. Yes, the point is 25,700 Dow. Please take note. 

For Dow to be bullish - Dow has to cross 25,700 convincingly and move higher. If that happens, I stand bullish. Very bullish. I will add my positions on every pullback on wave e. Wave e will only be a short pullback possibly.

For Dow to be bearish - Dow will have hard time crossing 25,700 convincingly. If it touched 25,700 region and faltered, double tops formations will be in. I stand bearish, very bearish. Wave e will be a very sharp and painful one. We could see another 1K drops possibly.

So, thats all for the updates. Plan well and trade well. Cheers!

Syndicate alphie is now alphatrader100

This joker syndicate - alphie has decided to change his profile name from alphie to alphatrader100 today. Hopefully this name change will be the last for him. So reader please take note.

is now 

Closing the chapter of syndicate - Finding 3

Syndicate's teamwork

Below attachment showed both lynlynnakamori and alphie talking to a fellow IN member limchris8. Do you all see a pattern there? 

The conversations was a snapshot of a posting by alphie dated 7th Feb 2018, one day before Midas was suspended for fraud. 

If you read in details, both lynlynnakamori as well as alphie were trying to convince limchris8 to hold his position on Midas instead of taking profit. limchris8 concurred with them after these conversation. It all looked very normal right, but here is what many people never noticed. 

1. Lynlynnakamori appeared and commented in alphie post. 

2. Lynlynnakamori talked to limchris8

3. Alphie talked to limchris8

4. Lynlynnakamori never talked to alphie throughout. 

Strange right? They talked behind the scene is it? 

Here in another snapshot of conversation between lynlynnakamori and limchris8, lynlynnakamori was seen trollimg limchris8 and seemed to be framing and talking down on him about selling Midas. See limchris8 replied carefully as he tried to defense himself from her attack. Lynlynnakamori deleted all her comment trail and blocked limchris8 after that. Can you see how it was done now.

Now, this is the best part. Time went by fast, everyone moved on from Midas event. Alphie claimed to have stucked with tonnes of money, everyone took pity on him, lynlynnakamori claimed it was a bad trade, everyone believed her. Those who bought Midas, took the hit but blamed only to themselves for being greedy.

Then Creative play started soon after, you get such reply from alphie. How shocking!  No one see this or no one bother to see?

lynlynnakamori posted tonnes of estimates on daily basis and alphie has also talked to her few times in Midas post, how can alphie claimed not know who is lynlyn? The more this young syndicate try to play pretence, the more it get leaked. 

In conclusion, I think InvestingNote or other forum has become the places where syndicates will find their prey. I suspect Lynlynnakamori could be the ring leader and many young adults are jointly under the same umbrella working towards a common goal. 

I am writing this with the intention to educate the investment community and shared some lights on what may be true or not true about these two profiles. It is impossible to prove that my speculation was 100% right unless MAS could step in and do an investigation. 

Also, there are peoples who really did not mind about these syndicates as long as  they can make money with syndicates' help. So good luck to all. My work is finally done, case closed. Oh, one more.

Syndicate Alphie - finding 2

I have always been skeptical about Lynlynnakamori profile but I have never once doubted her TA skills. when lynlynnakamori started covering Midas and posted many upside target as estimations in InvestingNote forum. Her sudden interest with Midas was quite unexpected. Then again, her readings on Midas was accurate, Midas was rebounding well after hitting a low of below $0.10 with big buying volumes chasing for higher price.

The suspension of Midas news came out on 8th Feb 2018, it was a trigger for me to think deeper and became suspicious that it was after all the work of syndicates. One profile - qwewlim posted in InvestingNote that he was a victim, true or not, nobody knows, but he was rebuted.

To analyse if Lynlynnakamori is indeed a syndicate, she must has clan members in the InvestingNote forum working along with her. In the case of Midas, These syndicates must be working together to lure retailers in so that the 'Boss' could dump shares to retailers and funds. I began to look for clue.

The profile - alphie came to my attention. Yes, he is currently the most popular profile in IN and also known as 'Creative' BB. Also, many have already regarded him as the hero that helped them make money with Creative calls.

Yet, I have good basis to suspect that he was instrumental in trapping retailers into buying Midas.

Why so? He fits the criteria of syndicate by following factors:

1. He claimed to have bought in 4Mil shares of Midas 2 days before the suspension.
2. His is building the persona of a very successful trader at very young age.
3. He abruptly appeared in IN with postings mainly targeted at Midas.
4. His interaction with lynlynnamamori and others.

I looked into details and found that there were also inconsistencies in his replies to fellow IN members before and after the Midas event. I will list them down one by one based on face value. You can verify these evidences in IN and make a good judgement as well.

Observation 1 - Reconciling Midas quantity and Sum.

Midas halted on 8th Feb 2018, two days before, 6th Feb 2018, he claimed to have bought back 2Mil Midas shares for contra trading. He had also 'picked up' 2Mil Midas shares before that.

On 7th Feb 2018, all I read was he continued to whack Midas by buying more. He could have contra off a big quantity on the same day, but it was not told to anyone.

When Midas was halted on 8th Feb 2018,
Alphie's Midas holdings had dropped to just 3 Mil shares. Hence, based on his previous wordings, I concluded that 2Mil of Midas remained picked up, 1 Mil was outstanding.
He could have contra sold 1Mil on 7th Feb 2018, but not told to anyone.

















Observation 2 - lies after lies

On 2nd of March 2018, alphie cleverly showcased his CDP statement show on the left below, total networth around $750K. But why no sign of any Midas shares??

Actually, my guess is that alphie intentionally hide line 2 of his CDP statement, showing only 'N/A' on the last column. This is to give others the impression that line 2 is actually Midas holdings. Well, it worked for some. See the responses, members actually believed it.

However, CDP statement arrange share names in alphabetical order, it is definately not Midas. The share which was hidden should be Creative. One member noticed and said Creative at first, he answered 'not Creative'. This was a lie. Then GrandpaLemon blew his cover by telling him this "line 2 should be Creative, if it is Midas, should be row 5".
So where is Midas? Where is that 3Mil Midas shares that he claimed to have bought and got stucked. Someone asked, he just replied transferred to Margin.

To me, that again was obviously a lie. Firstly, in the entire chain of conversation between 5th Feb - 8th Feb 2018, not once he claimed to have bought Midas under margin. He used the word 'Pick up' many many times for 2mil shares and play contra for the balance 2Mil. So, can he really transfer his 3Mils Midas to Margin? Answer is a big No. Bank will not accept suspended shares into margin because suspended shares do not have any value. I have verified that.

Also, to have credit in the margin account, alphie will need to pledge his other shares with the bank. If his CDP is showing $750k worth of holdings, what other shares did he own to pledge with the bank to leverage buying? Alphie trading account must have much bigger assets pledged with the bank for bank to give him huge buying credit limit.

So, with all these lies, I could only speculate that alphie trading account could be funded by 'syndicate money' or the CDP statement above did not belong to him. There could be other reasons as well. In the CDP statement, Starhub cost price was quoted at 1.70. Starhub had never traded at that price since 2005. Well, alphie replied was that it was a married deal price. Again, do think that this is believable? Who will bother to do a married deal to him at such cheap price and why?

If you looked into his CDP, there are five stocks out of nine which are stocks that lynlyn has called for buy. They are Cosco, Jiutian, Sembmarine, Singpost and Singtel. Are these just pure coincidence?

Observation 3 - Midas calls.

Evidences of Midas calls by both lynlynnakamori and alphie. There were many of them, I just put up two. Next, I will share findings on how these two help each other as a team.

Trading syndicates at work - Finding number 1

Let me first start with lynlynnakamori, perhaps the mastermind of the whole syndicate clan. Other than Alphie profile, I have yet be able to convincingly identify other members.

Let me first take you back on why lady 'guru' want to trade for others. This is clearly the work of syndicates.  By allowing lady 'guru' access to one trading account, one automatically becomes a part of her syndicate group, unknowingly. But why and how. I will explain. See evidences below.

The explanation is simple. Syndicates want access to outsider trading accounts, as many as possible mainly for the purpose of 'Roll Over'.

What is 'Roll over'?

'Roll over' stocks would mean passing shares through buy, sell from one person to another person or a group of people (who may or may not paid for the shares) from time to time, sometimes within contra period. They need to roll over stocks, pass holdings from one person to another and continue on so as keep the share price up each time. Syndicates can not seemed to be using thier own trading accounts to do the 'roll over' act over and over because it will be too obvious that there is no transfer of ownership of shares.

When one allowed syndicate to use his/her account to trade, he/she became a member of the syndicate unknowingly. He/she will be deemed as carrying out share manipulation and would be implicated for breaking the law.

I last read that lady 'guru' had already privately shared her emails to those who were interested to join her and let her use thier accounts to trade. If you are one of them or knew anyone who did it, please tell them to change password, stop her access right away. If she had used your account to buy Midas and had not gotten out, then you were already a victim to these syndicates clan.

 

The reply from this profile aero73 also seemed very fishy. I have yet to find good reasons to believe this person is also one of the syndicate clan members.

There were so many interested IN members willing to let her trade for them. How can InvestingNote admin allowed this post to stay so long and not removed for soliciting reason.

Is it because she also helped InvestingNote guys to trade? I hope not!

More findings to come!

Detective IPOTRUST uncovered syndicates at work in investment forum

Hi all, from this post onwards, I will be writing a lot more about my investigation work on 'Trading syndicates at work in investment forums". So please bear with me if this is not what you are interested to read. I need to do this because I took it as a sign that it is my duty to find out and reveal it to investment community. I will try to explain briefly how trading syndicate group is currently at work in forum space and how they are influencing every retails investors.

Just a bit of background on why I started my investigation. Recently many retail investors / traders have become the victim to Midas share scam and likely to lose tonnes of money. They bought into Midas, a S-chip, only to found out later that Midas had to be suspended because of fraud. So, one would ask why is so special about Midas ? Why bought Midas?

Many investors / traders in Singapore no longer trust S-Chip China firms because of thier bad reputations. Midas share collapsed on one occasion, down from 0.20 to less than 0.10 in less than a week. There was a very popular profile - lynlynnakamori in InvestingNote forum suddenly became very interested in Midas. She has over 2 thousands followers because of her accurate reading of stocks movement based on Technical Analysis or TA. Her sudden interest in Midas was totally unexpected. She would then post price appreciation or rebounds for Midas shares, step by step and eventually gave an upside target of close to 50%. During the period, there were a number of new profiles showed up and started posting many bullish calls Midas, over and over again in InvestingNote. See, all seemed very normal but it was NOT.

Midas share got suspended because of fraud. Lynlynnakamori claimed it was a bad trade, lost some money. One particular profile - Alphie, claimed to have lost a lot of money because he would buy, sell in thousand lots of Midas. He would post of his money lost while others in the forum would sympathise and gave him thier supports. Nothing at all seemed suspicious of any kind.

Because I have reasonable basis to suspect the so called lady 'guru', Alphie and clan are actually syndicates at work. I will describe it in a way that specifically pointing at her, him and thier methods. Below are thier profiles in case you need to know. I would share my findings on these two profiles in subsequent posts.

My observations

1. To cultivate followers / believers

Many bloggers, individuals, professionals such as myself would like to have good number of followers, believers or supporters. Our intentions are quite obvious, we hope to grow clients base, grow supporters and eventually lead to business growth. This is done in a way that all parties will benefit one way or another. We recommend, give advise, clients acted on recommendations, made money and promote our services to more people.

Lady 'guru' intention is not clear. She claimed to be helping everyone by charting for free. Lately, she claimed to be jobless and want to use everyone account to trade. Did you see clones / Clan members in there to encourage retailers to use her so called 'service'? This is illegal. Are you believing in this?

Lady 'guru' has funds backing, I suspected. There are also other funds that would follow her calls and she knew it. She could be working under a 'dark fund' and very closely knitted to financial sector. She has very good knowledge of market information, technical analysis or TA to help her identify what stocks are bullish. Using these elements of TA, funds support, top info and retailers interests, her calls will likely to be correct somewhat. Why so, this is because STI is really very small, very illiquid. This was done in purpose to make you believe or become a believer especially when you made money before. But, it comes with risk.

2. Fighting to fend off opposing views

No one is perfect, everyone makes mistakes like myself. Why on earth would I stop anyone from having oppositing views on my stocks in forum? I thought the purpose of joining forum is to share opinions? I felt handcuffed by lady 'guru' so not to offend her on her stocks earlier in my posts. What a joke.
lady 'guru' is infamous for attacking those who shared opposing views on her stock calls. You can see my ealier post on how she did it.

lady 'guru' needed her calls to be right most of the time.
The reasons are:
1) To cultivate followers and believers.
2) less friction for share manipulations
3) To hit target price for her pay master or Big Boy.
4) To stir interests
5) To offload shares to masses. (Example - Midas)

3. Suspicious, fictitious forum character

Lady 'guru' uses a Japanese artist as profile picture in forum, her identity remained unknown. No one knows who she is, not even InvestingNote guys. She always claimed to be just 19 years old, mother singaporean and father is Japanese. Being Japanese, she has poor command of english, jobless and would return to Japan in fear that she would be attacked or kidnapped.

Seriously, do people really believe in these craps. Reading all her posts and tutorials, she writes better than me and could even write good chinese sentences. It is plain obvious from her posts that she is not who she claimed to be. There are actually some who suspected that lady 'guru' is actually a man in disguise. The cover up was planned in a way that no one will be able to track him or her.

Alphie - profile also very fishy. He claimed to have come from very humble background, started investing with tens of thousands but have grown to close to 1 million net worth over 5 to 6 years. Well, all that is still possible, I won't doubt it. The reason why I grew suspicious is when he started to show inconsistency in his posting on tradings and holdings. For example, he never once claimed that he bought Midas using margin. He claimed to have bought / sold, or 'Pick up' Midas shares trading. Lately, his CDP showed that he did not have a single share of Midas and he started to said all transferred to Margin. That was an obvious lies.  I would share more on this character in my later postings.


4. Trading syndicates in action

My observation is that lady 'guru' may not be just an individual but worked together with others in a team. They work for different bosses who would pay them to carry out certain tasks. These tasks include share manipulations, stir market interest and offloading of shares to masses. One very good example is Midas. More will be shared in my postings later.