Wow! Where have I been?

I have been missing in action recently. Where have I been? I was totally awared that market had been filled with dramas,  almost every daring stocks could plunge in prices and caught everyone by surprise. Investors and traders who longed, might not do very well lately.

Nevermind, I am not writing today to talk about how well I have done in my reading and stuffs. I just wished to take you to my new journey with Tradably. Tradably is a platform I am currently active in. Because I believe this platform will be a hit in the future, I hope all you who follow can join in and make this platform the most credible and well recognised investment platform in the market.

Tradably provide everyone clear evidences of who are the real pro in the market place. Every trading ideas or executions was tracked and recorded. The person with best trading idea will yield best returns and ranked highly in the platform. TA experts could showcast how well they perform with every trades.

So, come join me and see what have I done in there. Even though I am about one month in there, my yield rose from 5% and then down to just below 1% after several mistakes. Not impressive yet, I will work harder. Oh, can not find the name IPOtrust in there? When you get it, you will know who I am.

How do you trade? My take and explanation

Few weeks earlier, I posted picture below and asked visitors about trading. There are some comments from my kakis, close group, and a comment on this blog.  Firstly, one thing is sure, this is a reversal chart and price is moving upward. So, wherever your answer is, whether it is A, B, C or D. They are all correct. However, I will be giving my own explanation below as to why traders choose each entry.

Entry D 

This entry D is usually executed by the most traders. They find comfort putting in the buy order because they refer to the break out at C to determine thier entry buy. They did it with confidence and the entry is somewhat less stressful. Market gurus taught entry like this to followers and many times it  worked. However, the truth is this entries can fail just as many times. It would fail when stop loss is triggered. How so, position D traders would put stop loss either below the support line C or below B or A. Market forces make sure stop loss get triggered or price could just drop further down from D. Do you experience it before? I bet you did.

It is always about risk vs reward and lets say price move up after D. The reward ratio is in fact the least if you should set a sell/ profit taking target at the next resistance level. Your risk vs reward ratio is stop loss vs profit taking. The ratio is 1:1 most of the time. D traders are the most exposed to risk in my opinion. Why? because more than 60% of the traders would execute buy orders there and market forces earn the most from this larger percentages of D traders. 

Entry C 

Position C traders are called the 'Break Out' traders. There are equally large percentage of C traders as D traders. C traders would execute buy order the moment the price break above resistance line or zone. Position C traders are confident of their entries because they are taught that such entry is almost ideal. Why? Entry C usually has high volume, which indicates good buying support from market or other traders.  Entry C has a good upward momentum and indicates that price will appreciate more. Many C traders chased in because they fear of missing out the trade. Just like D traders, market gurus also advocate buying at such 'break out' and of cause it worked many times as well. However, the truth is these entries often failed as well. There are so many false break out examples. As soon as C traders chased in at C, the price appreciate a little more and then start to falter. It went back down even below the resistance turned support line C and triggered stop loss. Sounds familiar?

So what risk vs reward ratio for C traders? The answer is also low. Imagine you put your stop loss below C, A or B, vs setting a sell/ profit taking target at the next resistance zone. The ratio is still 1:1 or less most of the time. C traders are also exposed to high risk of losing. This is because more than 60% of traders would execute buy orders there and market forces would make a killing, earning  from C traders by stopping them out or trigger thier stop loss levels. C traders lost money usually becuase they chase, fearing of missing out the trade. 

Entry B 

From the response I received, most of you would choose entry C or D. This exactly how general market traders would do. This is why most traders lose money and only earned by a few. Entry B traders are the few that could make money from the market if they are consistent and they have discipline. 

It was done by a study I read that 80 - 90% of traders lose money trading markets. Only a handful, less than 5% can win the market consistently. So what is so special about these traders from the crowd? They are different because they know something we do not know, they understand the ideal buy execution conditions should have the following characteristics.

1. Buy execution should be the least comfortable ones.

2. Buy execution should have the least trades by others

3. Buy execution should have some similar features or patterns.

4. Buy execution would have to be patience and wait for right time to strike. 

Back to B traders. There are fewer B traders in the market because they would rather not take the trades. They looked at location A from the chart and assumed that price will continue its downtrend and go below A. Market gurus also often warned about these trades, hinting that it could lead to downtrend and price could go lower. And yes indeed, many times these gurus are right, price did break below A, so called support level, and go lower. The truth is entry B is a comfirmation of a new reverse up trend. So who is right ?

Right or wrong is subjective but traders should pay more attention to risk vs reward ratio. Look at the chart, compared trader B vs trader C and D. Who has the higher reward ratio and who has the lower risk ratio. Trader B has a lot of upside potential gain compared to trader C and D. Isnt that right? Imagine B trader execute buy order, price go higher and higher.. eventually break resistance C and go higher. 

What is the downside risk, trader B would only need to place its stop loss at below entry A, a small distance away from his entry B, very tight stop loss. 

If trader B could do these trades many times, small losses vs big gain ratio, comsistently with discipline, trader B is a winner in a long run. Many people do understand this principles but they do not have the discipline or patience to put into action. True?

Entry A 

Traders A are trade masters. Why do I give traders A such a good name? If they are able to execute buy order at A, as shown in the chart, could they have lost money? Many may argue that it is not possible to perform such trades and hope to win, they argue that how to know if price would stop moving downwards, there is lack of support, lack of data, lack of evidences that price will stop moving downwards. Market gurus will never tell students to execute buy orders at A because they are also thinking the same way. No one would trade at A in conclusion. They are right most of the time but guess what, the real winners are A traders because they know something which we do not know. Look at this chart, isnt it clear enought. 

Earlier, I discribe that ideal trades should have certain characteristics. I repeat

1. Buy order should be the least comfortable ones

2. Buy orders should have the least trades by others

3. Buy orders should have some unique features and patterns

4. Buy order need to be patience and wait for the right time to strike. 

Entry A traders are different from the crowd. They wait for right opportunity and execute for the kill. They knew the drop had ran over its course and they would strike at the right entry almost when no one dare to trade. After that, they just let price reverse and run up to thier target sell. 

Trader A put stop loss below A, marginal risk..  trader A rewards go from lowest of the chart to the highest point. In other words, trader A has the least risk compared to trader B,C or D. You see why only 5% winners in the market now?

Earlier I describe to you, all execution contain risks.. wherever it may be, no matter how confident you are, reality is you face the same risks whether you execute your trade at A, or B, or C or D. So, why trade at C or D when you have a better rewards at A or B. 

A ray of hope in Nico Steel

I hate to admit that Nico steel was a bad call. Even though I emphasized on only putting small amounts of extra gambling funds in it, still the drop in share price had made many lost money. I now realised the toxicity of convertible bonds can do to share price for a company especially when the company was desperate for cash flow. This will be a lesson to me so I decide to mark it down in my blog as well.

Ok, let me now take us to a brighter side of things. Nico recently had announced potential MOU with a China Fund House - Jiangsu Kaixinfenxiang Green Finance co. Ltd. To me, news like this is often a pretext for company to find investors for its equity. I would totally disregard such news. However, something interesting was happening at the same time, I wondered if really there could be a ray of hope for this stock Nico Steel.

Nico steel's outstanding shares had diluted from 600Mil to over 2 Bil in the past few months. Company still has market value of about 4Mil. Looking into the company financials, it was really not as bad as what it seemed. Company is still cheap for 4Mil market cap. This is because it would cost as much as 4Mil for a private company to get listed on SGX mainboard. So, it would make sense for any private company to just spend a little extra to acquire a public listed firm and do a RTO.

The recent share buying activities by two China individuals and CEO himself suggested to me that there could be a three way fights over control of Nico Steel. if this is real, it would not take long to see market interest coming in to the stock and price appreciation to follow. I hope for the best to those who still own the stock and hope something beautiful can come out of it.

CEO Danny Tan purchased 450Mil shares last two days. This still put him the largest shareholders with over 20% stake. To gain control, Lei Xu need to get over 30% stakes or another 700Mil more shares by estimates.

How do you trade?

Please see the attached picture below and give me your honest answer. Which exact location A, B, C or D would you execute a 'BUY' order?

If you would leave a comment here, I would let you know the right answer and why I think so. 

Dow had reversed it's course for now

I have just developed a tool or skillset that would allow me see reversal after a up or down trend. It is still work in progress but so far results have been pretty good. One reading I wish to share today is on Dow chart. This is a continuation of where I left behind from my last Dow post. You can see below how I used this new tool or skillset to confidently predict a reversal in Dow.

As you can see the whatsapp messages, I told a buddy that I saw reversal for Dow based on 24,880 level breached. This was a correct view. Dow effectly started to show weakness and then plunge downwards as of yesterday 29th May 2018.

I will be watching Dow's movements regularly and determine to catch the next reversal after this drop is over. Stay tune! 

Increase the odds in winning - ♡ Indexes reading

How do I get my confidence when I bought in a stock and expect the stock to move up? First step is to get the indexes direction right. Let me show you an updated Dow chart as an example.

if you zoomed the Dow chart above, the last bar ( Long red bar ) took place on 25th Apr 2018. The Dow index movement and direction were predicted and shared with members at that time. I have clearly drawn out that Dow will hit  support the third times before going in for reversal move. Wave 'e' move was terminated the moment index bounced. New wave / new structure will be in play after that. 

Today 14th May 2018, Dow chart looks like this. 

So, when you get the reading of indexes direction right, you will be confidence whenever you execute a buy order. Agree? 

Based on this latest 14th May 2018 chart for Dow, I already have a game plan and prediction in mind, I will be sharing the next Dow's movement with friends and members. For goodwill, I will leave a clue to you today, Dow is showing corrective move. So, what do I meant by that? 

Any TA gurus or TA gungduh - Lynlynnakamori will impart this info to you? I really do not think so. Good luck!

Differences between good calls vs poor calls

I think soon this blog will be changed name to #TrustNoToLynLynnakamori. Just joking, Well, if you follow TA guru-Lynlynnakamori in InvestingNote.com or most of the so called TA gurus out there, you will realised many of their stock calls were made after the stock had already ran up or so called 'break out' buy. Seriously, this kind of buy calls are so low level, so beginner. Well, one can argues that price may appreciate more from 'break out' buy, the truth is many actually lost money chasing all these so called ' break out' buy.  Very often, price will come off again and hit 'cut loss' price. Asked youself, how many times have you done this? How many times did you win? The answer is less than 50%.

I am going to show you examples of TA guru - Lynlynnakamori 'Right' calls. It is really a low class call, even a fool can do it. The stock she made her call today - ♤ Genting Singapore, dated 11th May 2018. She has a few more calls but I will only use this stock. See below:

See below, she expect bullishness to continue and price to appreciate to 1.38 level. That was after Genting Singapore reported a good set of Q1 result yesterday, and price had already shot up from 1.16 to 1.23 (open price today 11-May-2018). So, what is the percentage that price will go up to 1.38 level from here? You already missed 1.16 entry level, buying 1.23 today will exposed you to higher risks when you chase. So, in this case, can Genting move higher? What should you do? Look for me, I will give you an answer. 

So, I talked so much, what I have done to comment? Am I better or more superior? I am not showing off, I am just telling you all that the better ones are those who can predict prices before price actions have taken off. I made wrong calls as well, but I have more rights ones definately. See below.

All my three stocks, Singpost, Wingtai and Genting were called two days ago, dated 9th May 2018. They were shared with my members.

1. Singpost entry level 1.32 on 9th May, today 1.36, 1.03pm 11th May 2018

2. Wingtai entry level 2.03 on 9th May, today 2.09, 1.03pm 11th May 2018

3. Genting entry level 1.16 on 9th May, today 1.25, 1.03pm 11th May 2018.

So, who has the better call ? What levels have higher probability of winning trades or investments? Don't blindly follow TA gungduh-Lynlynnakamori. She is just as good as any others out there,  nothing special except some TA skills and good followers. 

Lynlynnakamori - TA guru or TA gungduh

Update 7th September 2019: -

I visited InvestingNote today and realised this old post was being put up to talk about lynlynnakamori. In trading, no one is above all, every trader's decision to execute a buy or sell is just one voice, one view. You will win money when market agree with your view and you made money, simple. 

If you pay money and join in a guru group or syndicate, each guru's call on a particular stock will likely to create massive interest on that stock. This is because your action to follow that guru's call also followed by others in the same group. So, this sudden spike in demand causes the stock price to go up..
So, is the guru's TA skill good or you are the reason why her TA skill good ? Think about that.

If you wish to join in a channel with all the profession traders, come join in this Telegram channel : https://t.me/Trading_Gram
There are free TA courses being shared in this channel.


I am just going to wind up my last comment on Hi-P showing some real time pricing today and show how Hi-P had done the magnificient drop since my first post.

Date : 4th May 2018, Hi-P last traded price was at 1.48!

If I have been a short, I would cover my short at current price and wait for some mini rebounds to take place. So will this mark the end of Hi-P drop? I see recovery short term but only to see further drops on longer timeframe. Why so?
Hi-P reported only $10Mil plus net profit first quarter, if I use $10Mil each quarter to project full year, the annual profits will only be $40Mil. Market cap for current price $1.48 of Hi-P is still at $1.2bil. This translate to PE 30 times. Expensive or not? You decide. Well, one can argue that quarter one is generally slow for the industry, so I take $20Mil for balance 3 quarters and derive at $70Mil net profit for 2018. It is still PE 17 times.

Ok, let us see what TA guru - Lynlynnakamori has to say about Hi-P this time. Oh by the way, when her stocks crashed, her blue blood also crashed. She claimed her bloodtest results not good when Hi-P price was plunging. I mean, my blood will also be bad if I watch my investment money burnt. Here it goes :

 

See, TA guru estimated price target for Hi-P to be $2.50 in a year time. Oh yah, this target has gotten to do with Apple share buy back. So, Hi-P now need Apple to support its results. How confusing it is. 

Let me share all Lynlynnakamori previous TA charts on Hi-P, you decide if she is indeed a TA guru or TA gungduh. 

1. Hi-P chart dated 10-Apr-2018

Verdict : Wrong, false break out, price came down.

2. Hi-P chart dated 11-Apr-2018. 

Verdict: Wrong, tripple tops seen, pointing down.

3. Hi-P chart dated 20-Apr-2018

Verdict: Wrong, support so weak, price came down fast and furious.

4. Hi-P chart dated 30-Apr-2018
Verdict: Wrong, price went below crucial support, head lower below 1.50 region

Four times! Four readings all wrong! How could Lynlynnakamori claimed to be TA guru with all these bad charts. Let us don't be a gungduh blindly following a TA gungduh.

Updates : Hi-P ( DOWN ♧ )

Just want to update Hi-P performance today since I posted my prediction of it on 20 April 2018, also earlier warning dated 17th April 2018.  See chart below.

I think it is obvious enought, no need for me to say much. Like any other tech stocks in STI, Hi-P was sold badly down to day low 1.73 and closed at 1.80. If you have sold off Hi-P based on my prior post, your heart may not have bled so badly. Ok, because Hi-P had hit a support level, which was also a demand zone, it may has a chance to rebound. However, I doubt the rebound can be a very meaningful one when compared to others which had already reported Q1 earnings. 

I also wished to take this opportunity to warn everyone to be on guard against the so called TA guru - Lynlynnakamori. This is extremely important if you realised that she has gathered so many supporters and again had tricked them into holding Hi-P.  Because she is an expert in TA, I am quite certain that she or her dark fund would have liquidated her or thier positions ealier. Her followers may have ended up the buyers of those shares that was liquidated. I am pretty certain she would buy back at some point at lower price to show that she still has the shares and will commit to support Hi-P. I am gathering all the things to show how she has effectively fooled her supporters in InvestingNote.

1. Purposely made an estimate to show that 

Hi-P is gong to rebound to 2.18. 

After Hi-P share price had fallen to 1.80 today, everyone was asking her about it. She just keep quiet as if it was none of her business. 

2. Wrote a long article telling all the readers in the forum that Hi-P will not be affected by the tech sector correction. It was being researched that Hi-P's business operation relied heavily on Apple phone volumes. When Apple phones forecasted on demand and production drop, lynlynnakamori claimed that Hi-P already changed its business direction to driverless car sector. 

Some weeks ago, when positive news was reported on Apple phones, she was seen calling 'Hi-P' chiong ah! Okie!! I hope to learn flipping prata skill from her really. 

3. Posted a total irrelavant article about technology sector and then claimed that Hi-P is immune to tech sector reversal. I can not understand why so many followers can be so blind. 

4. Well, she claimed to be a TA expert and no one should question her on her TA charts reading. You questioned her, she would 'Block' you and made you regret. 

Sometimes, I also wondered if she really is that good. Obviously, Hi-P's TA chart was so wrong. And so many of her supported stocks are doing so badly these period. To name a few, Ezion, yuuzoo, Moya Asia, Dragon, Comfort Delgro (at least showed some improvement), Midas (if she really has it), Rex, Kris Energy, Jiutian etc. If one has all these shares, he or she would have cried all the way to the toilet. 

I just want to conclude by reminding readers not to blindly follow her and pass the message around. Help others. 

One direction for you Hi-P ----- ( DOWN ♧ )

I wonder why TA guru, queen of coconut empire, lynlynnakamori, did not forewarn all her members? Still calling buy? Stay vested? not affected by trade war? She is a TA guru, expert, she should know what the chart say when Hi-P was at 2.15 levels... its tripple tops... pointing down already.

In fact, I was just telling a buddy that Hi-P chart is super bearish on 17th April 2018, 3 days before we see this huge fall in price today. Weakness should still continue, be careful.

Accurate prediction - Dow 22nd March 2018

Have you experienced it before where your made very accurate predictions on market movements based on gut feel as well as TA. Last night, it was one of those prediction I made which was so accurate. It was very rare but still it can happened to me and to anyone.  Please see below snapshot of the conversation with a buddy on my outlook for Dow dated 22nd March 2018. This is a record I wish to keep in my blog for memory sake.

At about 8.00 pm last night, I wrote that I would expect Dow to crash towards 500 points downwards. At that time, US market had not started, Dow futures was down about 150 ponts or -0.5%.

Soon after at about 9.15pm, we withnessed 300 points down in Dow futures, -1% estimate.

US market opened down at 9.30pm. See by 11.40pm, Dow already crashed almost 500 points. My buddy was amazed by my prediction. But that is not the end yet.. read on..


























At around 11.48pm, Dow futures has crashed below 500 points, -1.6%. At that time, I wrote that I would buy Dow futures at about this level to fight for a 200 points rebounds. Move on to Dow chart below to see the magic.

Ta dah! Dow did exactly what I had predicted. No magic, not deception, Dow rebounded 200 plus point up before crashing further down south. I did not follow the further crash because I was already in bed sleeping.

DOW's chart update

Just an updates on Dow chart from where I left behind in the previous post. Because Dow still has not crossed my 25,700 crucial level, and wave 'e' is in play, I am more incline to be bearish and do nothing for the time being. Just in case big bear did come into play and wave 'e' happened to be a super extended one, you get to see Dow's chart that look like this below.

So, start working out a list of stocks that you wish to buy. If really US market cracked and crashed this way, buy in with full confidences. Market will reward you greatly after that. Let us wait and see if market opens up this opportunity for us or not. Good luck!

Market bull or bear ? Let Dow chart tells us

Last friday 9 March 2018, Dow up 440 points, crossed 25,000 easily and closed at 35,335. Today, all asian markets rallied up, STI up 60 points, Hang Seng up 400 points, and Nikkei 225 up above 300. STI Market is so bullish as I am updating the blog, funds are just grabbing and pushing up prices of almost every index stocks.

So, same questions everyone is now asking, what is next? There are mixed views from top top TA gurus out there, some are very bullish, few are still bearish. No one is absolutely sure. Of course, I have to make a stand too right, at least from technical prespective, I will chart out Dow based on my forecast and act according to my plan. Please see my latest Dow chart below based on my forecast or prediction.

I will determine if market were to be bullish or bearish based on a single crucial point in Dow. Yes, the point is 25,700 Dow. Please take note. 

For Dow to be bullish - Dow has to cross 25,700 convincingly and move higher. If that happens, I stand bullish. Very bullish. I will add my positions on every pullback on wave e. Wave e will only be a short pullback possibly.

For Dow to be bearish - Dow will have hard time crossing 25,700 convincingly. If it touched 25,700 region and faltered, double tops formations will be in. I stand bearish, very bearish. Wave e will be a very sharp and painful one. We could see another 1K drops possibly.

So, thats all for the updates. Plan well and trade well. Cheers!

Syndicate alphie is now alphatrader100

This joker syndicate - alphie has decided to change his profile name from alphie to alphatrader100 today. Hopefully this name change will be the last for him. So reader please take note.

is now 

Closing the chapter of syndicate - Finding 3

Syndicate's teamwork

Below attachment showed both lynlynnakamori and alphie talking to a fellow IN member limchris8. Do you all see a pattern there? 

The conversations was a snapshot of a posting by alphie dated 7th Feb 2018, one day before Midas was suspended for fraud. 

If you read in details, both lynlynnakamori as well as alphie were trying to convince limchris8 to hold his position on Midas instead of taking profit. limchris8 concurred with them after these conversation. It all looked very normal right, but here is what many people never noticed. 

1. Lynlynnakamori appeared and commented in alphie post. 

2. Lynlynnakamori talked to limchris8

3. Alphie talked to limchris8

4. Lynlynnakamori never talked to alphie throughout. 

Strange right? They talked behind the scene is it? 

Here in another snapshot of conversation between lynlynnakamori and limchris8, lynlynnakamori was seen trollimg limchris8 and seemed to be framing and talking down on him about selling Midas. See limchris8 replied carefully as he tried to defense himself from her attack. Lynlynnakamori deleted all her comment trail and blocked limchris8 after that. Can you see how it was done now.

Now, this is the best part. Time went by fast, everyone moved on from Midas event. Alphie claimed to have stucked with tonnes of money, everyone took pity on him, lynlynnakamori claimed it was a bad trade, everyone believed her. Those who bought Midas, took the hit but blamed only to themselves for being greedy.

Then Creative play started soon after, you get such reply from alphie. How shocking!  No one see this or no one bother to see?

lynlynnakamori posted tonnes of estimates on daily basis and alphie has also talked to her few times in Midas post, how can alphie claimed not know who is lynlyn? The more this young syndicate try to play pretence, the more it get leaked. 

In conclusion, I think InvestingNote or other forum has become the places where syndicates will find their prey. I suspect Lynlynnakamori could be the ring leader and many young adults are jointly under the same umbrella working towards a common goal. 

I am writing this with the intention to educate the investment community and shared some lights on what may be true or not true about these two profiles. It is impossible to prove that my speculation was 100% right unless MAS could step in and do an investigation. 

Also, there are peoples who really did not mind about these syndicates as long as  they can make money with syndicates' help. So good luck to all. My work is finally done, case closed. Oh, one more.

Syndicate Alphie - finding 2

I have always been skeptical about Lynlynnakamori profile but I have never once doubted her TA skills. when lynlynnakamori started covering Midas and posted many upside target as estimations in InvestingNote forum. Her sudden interest with Midas was quite unexpected. Then again, her readings on Midas was accurate, Midas was rebounding well after hitting a low of below $0.10 with big buying volumes chasing for higher price.

The suspension of Midas news came out on 8th Feb 2018, it was a trigger for me to think deeper and became suspicious that it was after all the work of syndicates. One profile - qwewlim posted in InvestingNote that he was a victim, true or not, nobody knows, but he was rebuted.

To analyse if Lynlynnakamori is indeed a syndicate, she must has clan members in the InvestingNote forum working along with her. In the case of Midas, These syndicates must be working together to lure retailers in so that the 'Boss' could dump shares to retailers and funds. I began to look for clue.

The profile - alphie came to my attention. Yes, he is currently the most popular profile in IN and also known as 'Creative' BB. Also, many have already regarded him as the hero that helped them make money with Creative calls.

Yet, I have good basis to suspect that he was instrumental in trapping retailers into buying Midas.

Why so? He fits the criteria of syndicate by following factors:

1. He claimed to have bought in 4Mil shares of Midas 2 days before the suspension.
2. His is building the persona of a very successful trader at very young age.
3. He abruptly appeared in IN with postings mainly targeted at Midas.
4. His interaction with lynlynnamamori and others.

I looked into details and found that there were also inconsistencies in his replies to fellow IN members before and after the Midas event. I will list them down one by one based on face value. You can verify these evidences in IN and make a good judgement as well.

Observation 1 - Reconciling Midas quantity and Sum.

Midas halted on 8th Feb 2018, two days before, 6th Feb 2018, he claimed to have bought back 2Mil Midas shares for contra trading. He had also 'picked up' 2Mil Midas shares before that.

On 7th Feb 2018, all I read was he continued to whack Midas by buying more. He could have contra off a big quantity on the same day, but it was not told to anyone.

When Midas was halted on 8th Feb 2018,
Alphie's Midas holdings had dropped to just 3 Mil shares. Hence, based on his previous wordings, I concluded that 2Mil of Midas remained picked up, 1 Mil was outstanding.
He could have contra sold 1Mil on 7th Feb 2018, but not told to anyone.

















Observation 2 - lies after lies

On 2nd of March 2018, alphie cleverly showcased his CDP statement show on the left below, total networth around $750K. But why no sign of any Midas shares??

Actually, my guess is that alphie intentionally hide line 2 of his CDP statement, showing only 'N/A' on the last column. This is to give others the impression that line 2 is actually Midas holdings. Well, it worked for some. See the responses, members actually believed it.

However, CDP statement arrange share names in alphabetical order, it is definately not Midas. The share which was hidden should be Creative. One member noticed and said Creative at first, he answered 'not Creative'. This was a lie. Then GrandpaLemon blew his cover by telling him this "line 2 should be Creative, if it is Midas, should be row 5".
So where is Midas? Where is that 3Mil Midas shares that he claimed to have bought and got stucked. Someone asked, he just replied transferred to Margin.

To me, that again was obviously a lie. Firstly, in the entire chain of conversation between 5th Feb - 8th Feb 2018, not once he claimed to have bought Midas under margin. He used the word 'Pick up' many many times for 2mil shares and play contra for the balance 2Mil. So, can he really transfer his 3Mils Midas to Margin? Answer is a big No. Bank will not accept suspended shares into margin because suspended shares do not have any value. I have verified that.

Also, to have credit in the margin account, alphie will need to pledge his other shares with the bank. If his CDP is showing $750k worth of holdings, what other shares did he own to pledge with the bank to leverage buying? Alphie trading account must have much bigger assets pledged with the bank for bank to give him huge buying credit limit.

So, with all these lies, I could only speculate that alphie trading account could be funded by 'syndicate money' or the CDP statement above did not belong to him. There could be other reasons as well. In the CDP statement, Starhub cost price was quoted at 1.70. Starhub had never traded at that price since 2005. Well, alphie replied was that it was a married deal price. Again, do think that this is believable? Who will bother to do a married deal to him at such cheap price and why?

If you looked into his CDP, there are five stocks out of nine which are stocks that lynlyn has called for buy. They are Cosco, Jiutian, Sembmarine, Singpost and Singtel. Are these just pure coincidence?

Observation 3 - Midas calls.

Evidences of Midas calls by both lynlynnakamori and alphie. There were many of them, I just put up two. Next, I will share findings on how these two help each other as a team.

Trading syndicates at work - Finding number 1

Let me first start with lynlynnakamori, perhaps the mastermind of the whole syndicate clan. Other than Alphie profile, I have yet be able to convincingly identify other members.

Let me first take you back on why lady 'guru' want to trade for others. This is clearly the work of syndicates.  By allowing lady 'guru' access to one trading account, one automatically becomes a part of her syndicate group, unknowingly. But why and how. I will explain. See evidences below.

The explanation is simple. Syndicates want access to outsider trading accounts, as many as possible mainly for the purpose of 'Roll Over'.

What is 'Roll over'?

'Roll over' stocks would mean passing shares through buy, sell from one person to another person or a group of people (who may or may not paid for the shares) from time to time, sometimes within contra period. They need to roll over stocks, pass holdings from one person to another and continue on so as keep the share price up each time. Syndicates can not seemed to be using thier own trading accounts to do the 'roll over' act over and over because it will be too obvious that there is no transfer of ownership of shares.

When one allowed syndicate to use his/her account to trade, he/she became a member of the syndicate unknowingly. He/she will be deemed as carrying out share manipulation and would be implicated for breaking the law.

I last read that lady 'guru' had already privately shared her emails to those who were interested to join her and let her use thier accounts to trade. If you are one of them or knew anyone who did it, please tell them to change password, stop her access right away. If she had used your account to buy Midas and had not gotten out, then you were already a victim to these syndicates clan.

 

The reply from this profile aero73 also seemed very fishy. I have yet to find good reasons to believe this person is also one of the syndicate clan members.

There were so many interested IN members willing to let her trade for them. How can InvestingNote admin allowed this post to stay so long and not removed for soliciting reason.

Is it because she also helped InvestingNote guys to trade? I hope not!

More findings to come!

Detective IPOTRUST uncovered syndicates at work in investment forum

Hi all, from this post onwards, I will be writing a lot more about my investigation work on 'Trading syndicates at work in investment forums". So please bear with me if this is not what you are interested to read. I need to do this because I took it as a sign that it is my duty to find out and reveal it to investment community. I will try to explain briefly how trading syndicate group is currently at work in forum space and how they are influencing every retails investors.

Just a bit of background on why I started my investigation. Recently many retail investors / traders have become the victim to Midas share scam and likely to lose tonnes of money. They bought into Midas, a S-chip, only to found out later that Midas had to be suspended because of fraud. So, one would ask why is so special about Midas ? Why bought Midas?

Many investors / traders in Singapore no longer trust S-Chip China firms because of thier bad reputations. Midas share collapsed on one occasion, down from 0.20 to less than 0.10 in less than a week. There was a very popular profile - lynlynnakamori in InvestingNote forum suddenly became very interested in Midas. She has over 2 thousands followers because of her accurate reading of stocks movement based on Technical Analysis or TA. Her sudden interest in Midas was totally unexpected. She would then post price appreciation or rebounds for Midas shares, step by step and eventually gave an upside target of close to 50%. During the period, there were a number of new profiles showed up and started posting many bullish calls Midas, over and over again in InvestingNote. See, all seemed very normal but it was NOT.

Midas share got suspended because of fraud. Lynlynnakamori claimed it was a bad trade, lost some money. One particular profile - Alphie, claimed to have lost a lot of money because he would buy, sell in thousand lots of Midas. He would post of his money lost while others in the forum would sympathise and gave him thier supports. Nothing at all seemed suspicious of any kind.

Because I have reasonable basis to suspect the so called lady 'guru', Alphie and clan are actually syndicates at work. I will describe it in a way that specifically pointing at her, him and thier methods. Below are thier profiles in case you need to know. I would share my findings on these two profiles in subsequent posts.

My observations

1. To cultivate followers / believers

Many bloggers, individuals, professionals such as myself would like to have good number of followers, believers or supporters. Our intentions are quite obvious, we hope to grow clients base, grow supporters and eventually lead to business growth. This is done in a way that all parties will benefit one way or another. We recommend, give advise, clients acted on recommendations, made money and promote our services to more people.

Lady 'guru' intention is not clear. She claimed to be helping everyone by charting for free. Lately, she claimed to be jobless and want to use everyone account to trade. Did you see clones / Clan members in there to encourage retailers to use her so called 'service'? This is illegal. Are you believing in this?

Lady 'guru' has funds backing, I suspected. There are also other funds that would follow her calls and she knew it. She could be working under a 'dark fund' and very closely knitted to financial sector. She has very good knowledge of market information, technical analysis or TA to help her identify what stocks are bullish. Using these elements of TA, funds support, top info and retailers interests, her calls will likely to be correct somewhat. Why so, this is because STI is really very small, very illiquid. This was done in purpose to make you believe or become a believer especially when you made money before. But, it comes with risk.

2. Fighting to fend off opposing views

No one is perfect, everyone makes mistakes like myself. Why on earth would I stop anyone from having oppositing views on my stocks in forum? I thought the purpose of joining forum is to share opinions? I felt handcuffed by lady 'guru' so not to offend her on her stocks earlier in my posts. What a joke.
lady 'guru' is infamous for attacking those who shared opposing views on her stock calls. You can see my ealier post on how she did it.

lady 'guru' needed her calls to be right most of the time.
The reasons are:
1) To cultivate followers and believers.
2) less friction for share manipulations
3) To hit target price for her pay master or Big Boy.
4) To stir interests
5) To offload shares to masses. (Example - Midas)

3. Suspicious, fictitious forum character

Lady 'guru' uses a Japanese artist as profile picture in forum, her identity remained unknown. No one knows who she is, not even InvestingNote guys. She always claimed to be just 19 years old, mother singaporean and father is Japanese. Being Japanese, she has poor command of english, jobless and would return to Japan in fear that she would be attacked or kidnapped.

Seriously, do people really believe in these craps. Reading all her posts and tutorials, she writes better than me and could even write good chinese sentences. It is plain obvious from her posts that she is not who she claimed to be. There are actually some who suspected that lady 'guru' is actually a man in disguise. The cover up was planned in a way that no one will be able to track him or her.

Alphie - profile also very fishy. He claimed to have come from very humble background, started investing with tens of thousands but have grown to close to 1 million net worth over 5 to 6 years. Well, all that is still possible, I won't doubt it. The reason why I grew suspicious is when he started to show inconsistency in his posting on tradings and holdings. For example, he never once claimed that he bought Midas using margin. He claimed to have bought / sold, or 'Pick up' Midas shares trading. Lately, his CDP showed that he did not have a single share of Midas and he started to said all transferred to Margin. That was an obvious lies.  I would share more on this character in my later postings.


4. Trading syndicates in action

My observation is that lady 'guru' may not be just an individual but worked together with others in a team. They work for different bosses who would pay them to carry out certain tasks. These tasks include share manipulations, stir market interest and offloading of shares to masses. One very good example is Midas. More will be shared in my postings later.

Two important charts for all to take note

Just before I left InvestingNote, I have posted two charts there for followers and friends to take note. In case those who missed it, please see attachments

When zoom in,  you get two charts below:

1) Daily Dow futures 7th Feb 08

After the crashed, I gave a reading that Dow can do rebound in three waves. Waves a, b, c. I did not continue after wave c because I want to get a feel of how strong this rebound will take us to. Yes, it is quite clear that wave d is going to be a down wave but when and where will it starts to drop? I am hunting for second tops in Dow.

2) Weekly S&P 500 Vix 7th Feb 08

Weekly S&P 500 Vix is fear index. It gave us a clue of oncoming market volatility when there are fears and massive sellings. There are also three waves a,b,c in sight. We are currently in wave b, going to hit support levels very soon and continue wave c, a sharp rise in S&P 500 Vix. Wave a,b,c is just my predictions based on historical patterns in S&P 500 Vix chart. If market is indeed going for big crash, I would expect a five waves chart instead of just three.






So, below will be my lastest updates on above two charts. I am providing the updates as I felt there should be a closing to where I have left behind in InvestingNote, so that friends can be well-informed. These are just predictions based on experience, they are not advises to anyone. Take it as just guide, may or may not come true.

Updates as of 27th Feb 2018

1) Daily Dow futures

The blue arrow is the down wave d. I believe we are very close to second tops where actual Dow closing last night was at 25,709. I am looking at 26,000 region plus, minus for second tops to take place. Then wave d will take us down to retest some support levels. These support levels are important to determine if market will continue to go up after this last crash.







2) Weekly S&P 500 Vix

We are at tail end of wave b, the blue line is the support line for Vix and should provide support for wave c to start its rebounds. Waves c would cause world stock markets to shake again. We will see if this is going to happen soon. So trade well and take care.